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Scenarios provide a visual snapshot of what the future might hold for a community as it works toward managing its growth wisely. They sometimes are mistaken for being forecasts or predictions, but in fact, are much more flexible and can be molded to fit the values and desires of a particular community. In a sense, scenarios simply are stories about what the future might hold.
How are scenarios built? They are based on what already exists - on trends that reflect current situations and growth patterns. They also include people's values and desires. Scenarios are built to compare outcomes and learn about the factors that will shape the future. They also are used to test strategies to guage success under different conditions.
Scenarios are built as a way to compare multiple outcomes and learn about the factors that shape the future
Three Scenarios:
fowarddallas! has developed three scenarios:
(1) the Trend Scenario
(2) the Vision Scenario
(3) the Turbocharged Growth Scenario
The Trend and Turbocharged scenarios are considered "bookends," or the extreme views on how Dallas' future growth could occur, and are used as a point of reference for building a vision. The Vision Scenario takes a more moderate approach, with some elements of both the Trend and Turbocharged Growth scenarios. It is based on themes that have emerged through the public input process.
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